Is this now Leicester's title? See the three matches that will decide it.

Could this have been the weekend that changed the title chance in favour of Leicester City. I blogged previously to say that I didn't think Leicester could even finish in the tip four. Those doubts have gone and they have been installed as favourites for the title with some bookmakers. This is a remarkable turnaround for a team that was fighting against relegation at the end of last season.


Much has been written about their star players such as Jamie Vardy and Riyad Mahrez. The manager Claudio Ranieri has also been in the spotlight.







In my blog today I am going to look at the three key games that they gave between now and the end of the season. There are thirteen games left as we stand. All will be "cup finals" for them, but three stand out-


Sunday 14th February - away to Arsenal
In the week after Leicester have notched wins against Liverpool and Manchester City, they face a third massive challenge in three games. If they beat Arsenal and Spurs draw with Man City in the other massive game this weekend then Leicester could finish the week 7 points clear at the top. If Leicester lose and Spurs win then the gap will be only 2 points. Without looking at the opposition you can see what a big game this is. I would say that Leicester have to make sure they don't lose. But they don't seem to play the game that way. I think that Mahrez and Vardy will be going all out to beat the Gunners.


Saturday 30th April - away to Manchester United
It's not that there won;'t be any crucial games in between Arsenal and Man United, it's just that this game could be when Leicester are looking to tie up the league title. If results go as expected then Leicester could be needing a win at Old Trafford to win the league with 2 games to spare. I suspect that by this time we will already know whether United are in the Champions League foe next season ans whether Louis Van Gaal will be be the manager.









After destroying Man U 5-3- last season I would expect that this is another game when Leicester attempt to set Vardy free to torture the opposition.


Sunday 15th May - away to Chelsea
Yes, I've picked 3 away games as those that will decide the fate of Leicester because this will be where they possibly drop some points. To be crowned as champions at the home of the outgoing champions would be a fantastic achievement. The home form of Chelsea this season has been really patchy, so if Leicester come here needing to win I wouldn't back against them. It could be the last game for Guus Hiddink and for John Terry though, so it may not be as easy as they would like.

See my take on whether Leicester City will make the top 4 this season

After most of the matches have been played this weekend, there's a question that everyone has been asking.

Will Leicester make the top four at the end of the season?

I heard Paul Merson ask it on Gillette Soccer Saturday, Jermain Jenas ask it on Match Of The Day and Martin Keown on MOTD2.

My answer really differs to most of what I've  heard recently. I don't think that they can keep this up. Just watching the intensity of their game against Everton and the amount of fight they had to put in, means for me that they will run out of steam.

An injury or two, a suspension or a player needing a test will put a bigger dent in their squad than any of their rivals. They don't have proven internationals on the bench or young starlets coming through the under-21 league. This means that they will struggle for quality if they hit a bad patch. It currently looks like Leicester will be competing with Manchester City, Arsenal, Spurs and Manchester United for a Champions League spot and all their squads run deeper.

Leicester could have some aces up their sleeves in the January transfer window, though and new signings will be easier to come by than last January when they were bottom of the league. But the pressure will be on Claudio Ranieri to make improvements without breaking the team spirit they have developed.

Whatever happens, it will be an interesting season. Keep watching and keep reading!

See the lowdown on why the Premier League is wide open this season

It feels as though nobody really wants to win the league this year. There's no stand out team that is taking it by the scruff of the neck like Chelsea did last season. With Manchester City losing at the weekend, Chelsea continuing their poor form and Manchester United struggling for goals it came to Leicester City and Arsenal to pick up wins and make their move.

So why are the big teams not firing so far?

Let's have a look-

Man City have suffered more injuries than usual this season. Losing Vincent Kompany, Yaya Toure and Sergio Aguero for long spells would harm any team in the world. They've list their captain, their midfield driving force and a large percentage of their goals. Kevin De Bruyne in his first proper Premier League season and a still-young Raheem Sterling can't seem to turn the tide on their own.

Louis Van Gaal has changed the philosophy at Man United. After a season in the doldrums under David Moyes, he probably felt he needed to turn the tide in some way. This way has been to spend (really, really) big and produce a team that keeps clean sheets as their main aim. From there, they hope that Rooney's will, Martial's pace or Mata's guile gets them a goal. It's quite dour to watch but the board thinks it's a great alternative to the Moyes reign.

What can I possible say about Chelsea? They have been awful and Jose Mourinho has not been the great manager we have been led to believe he is. Man management has never looked his strong point and it feels like he has lost the dressing room. A Champions eague exit this week will all but seal his fate. I suspect that Abramovic wants to keep him on but time is definitely running out.

The last of the traditional big four is Arsenal and they have suffered injuries on a similar scale to Man City. They have lost key players at key times but still keep up second place at the moment. The magic of Ozil will have to make do on it's own as Sanchez what looks like a hamstring injury which could keep him out of the side for a while.

The revelation so far have been Leicester City and they currently top the table. Nobody expects them to keep it up but if the other teams mentioned above continue with their problems then Leicester have a chance. In the January transfer window will be much easier to attract players than this time last year when they were in real trouble. With a couple of quality acquisitions they could have a chance of lasting the distance and from there who knows?

My tip for the title as it stands now is Manchester City. I just think that they can't continue to be this unlucky with injuries and they could go out and buy a £50 million player in January if they felt it necessary.

Can you pick a better England team from those playing every week?

I've been looking at the next England squad for the upcoming internationals in October and there are more and more problems mounting for Roy Hodgson in his future selections. Only ten to fifteen years ago Sven Goran Eriksson would see a player playing for a Champions League team as the main criteria for being selected for the team, if not the squad.

We haven't got a great record in this year's Champions League as it is, especially after last night's poor showing by both Arsenal and Chelsea, but even ignoring that fact we have a very small pool of players that are starters for Champions League teams. For that matter we have very few players that are starters for Premier League team at the moment.

Below are the players that could be possibly considered as England internationals that actually started for their clubs in the last round of Premier League fixtures-

Manchester United
Chris Smalling
Michael Carrick
Wayne Rooney

Manchester City
Raheem Sterling

Tottenham Hotspur
Kyle Walker
Eric Dier
Harry Kane

West Ham United
Carl Jenkinson
James Tomkins
Aaron Cresswell

Arsenal
Theo Walcott

Leicester City
Jamie Vardy

Everton
Phil Jagielka
Ross Barkley

West Bromwich Albion
Saido Berahino

Crystal Palace
Scott Dann

Liverpool
Nathaniel Clyne
James Milner
Daniel Sturridge

Aston Villa
Scott Sinclair
Jack Grealish

Southanpton
Ryan Bertrand
James Ward-Prowse

Swansea City
Jonjo Shelvey

Chelsea
Gary Cahill

Newcastle United
Jack Colback

Stoke City
Jack Butland

Now, of course this is a snapshot and it ignores players such as Joe Hart (slight injury worry) and the likes of Phil Jones, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and Keiran Gibbs that suffer with rotation at their clubs.

I'd like to think that being first choice for your team is a pre-requisite for selection for the national team, and based on that criteria here is my England team for the next internationals, whilst looking to the future.

Jack Butland
Nathaniel Clyne
Gary Cahill
Scott Dann
Aaron Cresswell
James Milner
James Ward-Prowse
Jonjo Shelvey
Raheem Sterling
Jamie Vardy
Harry Kane

I know that there's a lot of attacking intent in this team, and I'd look to a 4-3-3 formation with Vardy and Sterling working back along the wings to provide cover for the midfield three of Shelvey, Milner and Ward-Prowse. I think that we need to get over the early hurdles at European Championships and World Cups and this consistent failure is because of a few reasons-

Too little competition then too much competition
We have gone through many qualifying competitions where we've had no real opposition to stretch us and make us think about how we approach games and play the game. WE then go from this straight into a competition where we play good teams and fail. The FA has tried to deal with this for the upcoming European Championships by setting up friendlies against Spain and France and reports of friendlies against Germany and the Netherlands. I think that's all we can do as a nation to prepare. But we need to take the friendlies seriously and out out our best team, play competitively and try to win.

Not enough preparation time
This is a problem that's brought about by the popularity of the game and the money-making activities of the Premier League and the Premier League clubs. Chasing the dollar by having post-season tours, pre-season tours and friendlies does damage the quality of the product by increasing the quantity. This is going to have to be part of a root-and-branch review of the game at the top level and something will have to give - either the FA Cup, the League Cup, the Europa League, dropping the number of teams in the Premier League or limiting the off-season activity of clubs. I can't see any of these things happening.

Picking players that play
This is the idea from the list above. I have looked at players that play football for their clubs week-in, week-out as potential representatives of their country. There are 27 players in my list above and they would make a reasonable international squad. More importantly they would make a squad of players that are playing football at the top level in the country and you can filter the 27 down to the 11 with the best form to move the country forwards. I always liken the situation to the way Greece won the European Championships in 2004 with a team of "nobodies." But they were a team that worked hard together, knew their game plan and won by playing to their strengths.

We can do this with the work-rate of Vardy, the speed of Sterling, the goals of Kane and the possession of the midfield 3. If Greece did it, then why can't we?

This is the season that has seen attacking intent paying dividends - I'm sure it will continue

A topsy-turvy Premier League season has taken another turn today, and it's not even reached the 3 o'clock kick-off time on a Saturday as I write this. The fact that Spurs have just beaten Manchester City 4-1 means that Manchester United can (and probably will) go top of the league today with a win over a very poor Sunderland team. If Manchester United trip up at home then either West Ham or Leicester City could take over at the top of the table with a big enough win.

I know it's early days and you could look back at several past seasons to see an unexpected team near to the top or the bottom of the league, but this feels different. Aside from the shocking starts of Sunderland, Stoke City and Newcastle and probably Aston Villa, it seems that teams are capable of beating each other far more than ever before. Chelsea currently only have the four teams I've already mentioned below them and Manchester City have lost to West Ham and Tottenham Hotspur in successive games.

But it's the more attacking style of the lower and middle teams rather than any failings of the big teams that is making the difference this season. West Ham have gone to Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City and played without fear - coming away with three wins from three. Leicester City have found that the best way to get themselves out of a hole is to attack and try to score more goals than the opposition - coming back from 2 goals down against Villa to win and scoring four on the opening day against Sunderland are two such examples.

Swansea, Everton, Crystal Palace and Watford have all already shown much attacking intent and (so far) have shown no ideas about parking the bus, as so many average teams have done in the past.

So, this comes to my predictions of how the season will go, in terms of the top and the bottom-

Champions League places
Manchester City
Manchester United
Chelsea
Arsenal

The next group
Spurs
West Ham
Swansea
Leicester City

Not good enough
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
Everton
Stoke City

Survival
Watford
Bournemouth
Norwich City

Relegation
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
Sunderland

I think that this is the season that attacking play will win over defensive play and that the perceived gulf between Premier League clubs and Championship clubs disappears. It's when three big clubs, in Newcastle, Sunderland and Villa, drop out of the top flight. Years of clinging on by their fingertips, a lack of serious investment, a failure to make their academies work and chronic mismanagement will catch up in the end. I predict that this is the year it happens.